I was wrong
My prediction that Bush would again lose the popular vote but win the election was way off...in fact, it almost went the other way 'round. Where did I go wrong? I thought that Bush was hated in the blue states and would lose by an even bigger margin than before. Instead, Bush significantly increased his share of the two-party vote in most blue states, most especially in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut. Could this be a "world trade center" effect?